Publications

Marchetti, Sabina; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Flem, Elmira; Mirinaviciute, Grazina; Scalia Tomba, Gianpaolo; Manfredi, Piero,

Modeling the impact of combined vaccination programs against varicella and herpes zoster in Norway,

in «VACCINE»,

vol. 36,

n. 8,

2018

, pp. 1116 -

1125
Trentini, F.; Poletti, P.; Baldacchino, F.; Drago, A.; Montarsi, F.; Capelli, G.; Rizzoli, A.; Rosà, R.; Rizzo, C.; Merler, S.; Melegaro, A.,

The containment of potential outbreaks triggered by imported Chikungunya cases in Italy: a cost utility epidemiological assessment of vector control measures,

in «SCIENTIFIC REPORTS»,

vol. 8,

n. 1,

2018
Viboud, Cécile; Sun, Kaiyuan; Gaffey, Robert; Ajelli, Marco; Fumanelli, Laura; Merler, Stefano; Zhang, Qian; Chowell, Gerardo; Simonsen, Lone; Vespignani, Alessandro,

The RAPIDD ebola forecasting challenge: Synthesis and lessons learnt,

in «EPIDEMICS»,

vol. 22,

2018

, pp. 13 -

21
Ajelli, Marco; Zhang, Qian; Sun, Kaiyuan; Merler, Stefano; Fumanelli, Laura; Chowell, Gerardo; Simonsen, Lone; Viboud, Cecile; Vespignani, Alessandro,

The RAPIDD Ebola forecasting challenge: Model description and synthetic data generation,

in «EPIDEMICS»,

vol. 22,

2018

, pp. 3 -

12
Melegaro, Alessia; Marziano, Valentina; Del Fava, Emanuele; Poletti, Piero; Tirani, Marcello; Rizzo, Caterina; Merler, Stefano,

The impact of demographic changes, exogenous boosting and new vaccination policies on varicella and herpes zoster in Italy: a modelling and cost-effectiveness study,

in «BMC MEDICINE»,

vol. 16,

n. 1,

2018
Guzzetta, Giorgio; Marques-Toledo, Cecilia A.; Rosà, Roberto; Teixeira, Mauro; Merler, Stefano,

Quantifying the spatial spread of dengue in a non-endemic Brazilian metropolis via transmission chain reconstruction,

in «NATURE COMMUNICATIONS»,

vol. 9,

n. 1,

2018
Marziano, Valentina; Poletti, Piero; Béraud, Guillaume; Boëlle, Pierre-Yves; Merler, Stefano; Colizza, Vittoria,

Modeling the impact of changes in day-care contact patterns on the dynamics of varicella transmission in France between 1991 and 2015,

in «PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY»,

vol. 14,

n. 8,

2018

, pp. e1006334 -
Piffer, Silvio; Bignamini, Valeria; Rozzanigo, Umberto; Poletti, Piero; Merler, Stefano; Gremes, Elisabetta; Marco Bonifati, Domenico,

Different Clinical Phenotypes of Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source: A Subgroup Analysis of 86 Patients,

in «JOURNAL OF STROKE AND CEREBROVASCULAR DISEASES»,

2018
Poletti, Piero; Parlamento, Stefano; Fayyisaa, Tafarraa; Feyyiss, Rattaa; Lusiani, Marta; Tsegaye, Ademe; Segafredo, Giulia; Putoto, Giovanni; Manenti, Fabio; Merler, Stefano,

The hidden burden of measles in Ethiopia: how distance to hospital shapes the disease mortality rate,

in «BMC MEDICINE»,

vol. 16,

n. 1,

2018
Sun, Kaiyuan; Zhang, Qian; Pastore-Piontti, Ana; Chinazzi, Matteo; Mistry, Dina; E Dean, Natalie; Patricia Rojas, Diana; Merler, Stefano; Poletti, Piero; Rossi, Luca; Elizabeth Halloran, M; M Longini Jr, Ira; Vespignani, Alessandro,

Quantifying the risk of local Zika virus transmission in the contiguous US during the 2015–2016 ZIKV epidemic,

in «BMC MEDICINE»,

vol. 16,

n. 1,

2018
Liu, Quan-Hui; Ajelli, Marco; Aleta, Alberto; Merler, Stefano; Moreno, Yamir; Vespignani, Alessandro,

Measurability of the epidemic reproduction number in data-driven contact networks,

in «PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA»,

2018

, pp. 201811115 -
Melegaro, Alessia; Del Fava, Emanuele; Poletti, Piero; Merler, Stefano; Nyamukapa, Constance; Williams, John; Gregson, Simon; Manfredi, Piero,

Social Contact Structures and Time Use Patterns in the Manicaland Province of Zimbabwe,

in «PLOS ONE»,

vol. 12,

n. 1,

2017

, pp. e0170459 -
Dallabona, Monica; Sarubbo, Silvio; Merler, Stefano; Corsini, Francesco; Pulcrano, Giuseppe; Rozzanigo, Umberto; Barbareschi, Mattia; Chioffi, Franco,

Impact of mass effect, tumor location, age, and surgery on the cognitive outcome of patients with high-grade gliomas: a longitudinal study,

in «NEURO ONCOLOGY PRACTICE»,

2017

, pp. npw030 -
Ajelli, Marco; Litvinova, Maria,

Estimating contact patterns relevant to the spread of infectious diseases in Russia,

in «JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY»,

vol. 419,

2017

, pp. 1 -

7
Marini, Giovanni; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Baldacchino, Frederic; Arnoldi, Daniele; Montarsi, Fabrizio; Capelli, Gioia; Rizzoli, Annapaola; Merler, Stefano; Rosà, Roberto,

The effect of interspecific competition on the temporal dynamics of Aedes albopictus and Culex pipiens,

in «PARASITES & VECTORS»,

vol. 10,

n. 1,

2017

, pp. 102 -
Guzzetta, Giorgio; Tagliapietra, Valentina; Perkins, Sarah E; Hauffe, Heidi C; Poletti, Piero; Merler, Stefano; Rizzoli, Annapaola,

Population dynamics of wild rodents induce stochastic fadeouts of a zoonotic pathogen,

in «JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY»,

vol. 86,

2017

, pp. 451 -

459
Chowell, Gerardo; Viboud, Cécile; Simonsen, Lone; Merler, Stefano; Vespignani, Alessandro,

Perspectives on model forecasts of the 2014-2015 Ebola epidemic in West Africa: lessons and the way forward,

in «BMC MEDICINE»,

vol. 15,

n. 1,

2017

, pp. 42 -
Zhang, Qian; Sun, Kaiyuan; Chinazzi, Matteo; Pastore y Piontti, Ana; Dean, Natalie E.; Rojas, Diana Patricia; Merler, Stefano; Mistry, Dina; Poletti, Piero; Rossi, Luca; Bray, Margaret; Halloran, M. Elizabeth; Longini, Ira M.; Vespignani, Alessandro,

Spread of Zika virus in the Americas,

in «PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA»,

vol. 114,

n. 22,

2017

, pp. 201620161 -
Poletti, Piero; Visintainer, Roberto; Lepri, Bruno; Merler, Stefano,

The interplay between individual social behavior and clinical symptoms in small clustered groups,

in «BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES»,

vol. 17,

n. 1,

2017
Marangi, Luigi; Mirinaviciute, Grazina; Flem, Elmira; Scalia Tomba, Gianpaolo; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Freiesleben de Blasio, Birgitte; Manfredi, Piero,

The natural history of varicella zoster virus infection in Norway: Further insights on exogenous boosting and progressive immunity to herpes zoster,

in «PLOS ONE»,

vol. 12,

n. 5,

2017

, pp. e0176845 -
Trentini, Filippo; Poletti, Piero; Merler, Stefano; Melegaro, Alessia,

Measles immunity gaps and the progress towards elimination: a multi-country modelling analysis,

in «THE LANCET INFECTIOUS DISEASES»,

vol. 17,

n. 10,

2017

, pp. 1089 -

1097
Guzzetta, Giorgio; Trentini, Filippo; Poletti, Piero; Baldacchino, Frederic Alexandre; Montarsi, Fabrizio; Capelli, Gioia; Rizzoli, Annapaola; Rosà, Roberto; Merler, Stefano; Melegaro, Alessia,

Effectiveness and economic assessment of routine larviciding for prevention of chikungunya and dengue in temperate urban settings in Europe,

in «PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES»,

vol. 11,

n. 9,

2017

, pp. e0005918 -
Marini, Giovanni; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Rosà, Roberto; Merler, Stefano,

First outbreak of Zika virus in the continental United States: a modelling analysis,

in «EUROSURVEILLANCE»,

vol. 22,

n. 37,

2017
Marziano, Valentina; Pugliese, Andrea; Merler, Stefano; Ajelli, Marco,

Detecting a Surprisingly Low Transmission Distance in the Early Phase of the 2009 Influenza Pandemic,

in «SCIENTIFIC REPORTS»,

vol. 7,

n. 1,

2017
Ajelli, Marco; Moise, Imelda K; Hutchings, Tricia Caroline S G; Brown, Scott C; Kumar, Naresh; Johnson, Neil F; Beier, John C,

Host outdoor exposure variability affects the transmission and spread of Zika virus: Insights for epidemic control,

in «PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES»,

vol. 11,

n. 9,

2017

, pp. e0005851 -
Manica, Mattia; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Poletti, Piero; Filipponi, Federico; Solimini, Angelo; Caputo, Beniamino; Della Torre, Alessandra; Rosà, Roberto; Merler, Stefano,

Transmission dynamics of the ongoing chikungunya outbreak in Central Italy: from coastal areas to the metropolitan city of Rome, summer 2017,

in «EUROSURVEILLANCE»,

vol. 22,

n. 44,

2017
Ajelli, Marco,

Modeling mosquito-borne diseases in complex urban environments,

in «ACTA TROPICA»,

vol. 176,

2017

, pp. 332 -

334
Fumanelli, Laura; Ajelli, Marco; Merler, Stefano; Ferguson, Neil M; Cauchemez, Simon,

Model-Based Comprehensive Analysis of School Closure Policies for Mitigating Influenza Epidemics and Pandemics,

in «PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY»,

vol. 12,

n. 1,

2016

, pp. e1004681 -
Betta, Monica; Laurino, Marco; Pugliese, Andrea; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Landi, Alberto; Manfredi, Piero,

Perspectives on optimal control of varicella and herpes zoster by mass routine varicella vaccination,

in «PROCEEDINGS - ROYAL SOCIETY. BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES»,

vol. 283,

n. 1826,

2016

, pp. 20160054 -
Guzzetta, Giorgio; Poletti, Piero; Merler, Stefano; Manfredi, Piero,

The Epidemiology of Herpes Zoster After Varicella Immunization Under Different Biological Hypotheses: Perspectives From Mathematical Modeling,

in «AMERICAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY»,

2016

, pp. kwv240 -
Merler, Stefano; Ajelli, Marco; Fumanelli, Laura; Parlamento, Stefano; Pastore Y Piontti, Ana; Dean, Natalie E; Putoto, Giovanni; Carraro, Dante; Longini, Ira M; Halloran, M Elizabeth; Vespignani, Alessandro,

Containing Ebola at the Source with Ring Vaccination,

in «PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES»,

vol. 10,

n. 11,

2016

, pp. e0005093 -
Ciavarella, Constanze; Fumanelli, Laura; Merler, Stefano; Cattuto, Ciro; Ajelli, Marco,

School closure policies at municipality level for mitigating influenza spread: a model-based evaluation,

in «BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES»,

vol. 16,

n. 1,

2016

, pp. 576 -
Ajelli, Marco; Merler, Stefano; Fumanelli, Laura; Pastore Y Piontti, Ana; Dean, Natalie E; Longini, Ira M; Halloran, M Elizabeth; Vespignani, Alessandro,

Spatiotemporal dynamics of the Ebola epidemic in Guinea and implications for vaccination and disease elimination: a computational modeling analysis,

in «BMC MEDICINE»,

vol. 14,

n. 1,

2016

, pp. 130 -
Merler, Stefano,

Effects of clustered transmission on epidemic growth Comment on "Mathematical models to characterize early epidemic growth: A review" by Gerardo Chowell et al,

in «PHYSICS OF LIFE REVIEWS»,

vol. 18,

2016

, pp. 112 -

113
Guzzetta, Giorgio; Montarsi, Fabrizio; Baldacchino, Frédéric Alexandre; Metz, Markus; Capelli, Gioia; Rizzoli, Annapaola; Pugliese, Andrea; Rosà, Roberto; Poletti, Piero; Merler, Stefano,

Potential Risk of Dengue and Chikungunya Outbreaks in Northern Italy Based on a Population Model of Aedes albopictus (Diptera: Culicidae),

in «PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES»,

vol. 10,

n. 6,

2016

, pp. e0004762 -
Sarubbo, Silvio; De Benedictis, Alessandro; Merler, Stefano; Mandonnet, Emmanuel; Barbareschi, Mattia; Dallabona, Monica; Chioffi, Franco; Duffau, Hugues,

Structural and functional integration between dorsal and ventral language streams as revealed by blunt dissection and direct electrical stimulation,

in «HUMAN BRAIN MAPPING»,

vol. 37,

n. 11,

2016

, pp. 3858-3872 -

3872
Marini, Giovanni; Poletti, Piero; Giacobini, Mario; Pugliese, Andrea; Merler, Stefano; Rosà, Roberto,

The Role of Climatic and Density Dependent Factors in Shaping Mosquito Population Dynamics: The Case of Culex pipiens in Northwestern Italy,

in «PLOS ONE»,

vol. 11,

n. 4,

2016

, pp. e0154018 -
Guzzetta, Giorgio; Poletti, Piero; Montarsi, Fabrizio; Baldacchino, Frederic; Capelli, Gioia; Rizzoli, Annapaola; Rosà, Roberto; Merler, Stefano,

Assessing the potential risk of Zika virus epidemics in temperate areas with established Aedes albopictus populations,

in «EUROSURVEILLANCE»,

vol. 21,

n. 15,

2016
Clamer, Valentina; Dorigatti, Ilaria; Fumanelli, Laura; Rizzo, Caterina; Pugliese, Andrea,

Estimating transmission probability in schools for the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic in Italy,

in «THEORETICAL BIOLOGY AND MEDICAL MODELLING»,

vol. 13,

n. 1,

2016

, pp. 19 -
Brisson, Marc; Bénard, Élodie; Drolet, Mélanie; Bogaards, Johannes A; Baussano, Iacopo; Vänskä, Simopekka; Jit, Mark; Boily, Marie-Claude; Smith, Megan A; Berkhof, Johannes; Canfell, Karen; Chesson, Harrell W; Burger, Emily A; Choi, Yoon H; Blasio, Birgitte Freiesleben De; Vlas, Sake J De; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Hontelez, Jan A C; Horn, Johannes; Jepsen, Martin R; Kim, Jane J; Lazzarato, Fulvio; Matthijsse, Suzette M; Mikolajczyk, Rafael; Pavelyev, Andrew; Pillsbury, Matthew; Shafer, Leigh Anne; Tully, Stephen P; Turner, Hugo C; Usher, Cara; Walsh, Cathal,

Population-level impact, herd immunity, and elimination after human papillomavirus vaccination: a systematic review and meta-analysis of predictions from transmission-dynamic models,

in «THE LANCET PUBLIC HEALTH»,

vol. 1,

n. 1,

2016

, pp. e8 -

e17
S Merler; M Ajelli; L Fumanelli; MFC Gomes; A Pastore y Piontti; L Rossi; DL Chao; IM Longini Jr; ME Halloran; A Vespignani,

Spatiotemporal spread of the 2014 outbreak of Ebola virus disease in Liberia and the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions: a computational modelling analysis,

in «THE LANCET INFECTIOUS DISEASES»,

vol. 15,

n. 2,

2015

, pp. 204 -

211
Poletti P; Merler S; Ajelli M; Manfredi P; Munywoki PK; Nokes DJ; Melegaro A,

Evaluating vaccination strategies for reducing infant respiratory syncytial virus infection in low-income settings,

in «BMC MEDICINE»,

vol. 13,

n. 1,

2015

, pp. 49 -
Marziano V; Poletti P; Guzzetta G; Ajelli M; Manfredi P; Merler S,

The impact of demographic changes on the epidemiology of herpes zoster: Spain as a case study,

in «PROCEEDINGS - ROYAL SOCIETY. BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES»,

vol. 282,

n. 1804,

2015

, pp. 20142509 -
Guzzetta G; Ajelli M; Yang Z; Mukasa LM; Patil N; Bates JH; Kirschner DE; Merler S,

Effectiveness of contact investigations for tuberculosis control in Arkansas,

in «JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY»,

vol. 380,

2015

, pp. 238 -

246
Sarubbo, Silvio; De Benedictis, Alessandro; Merler, Stefano; Mandonnet, Emmanuel; Balbi, Sergio; Granieri, Enrico; Duffau, Hugues,

Towards a functional atlas of human white matter,

in «HUMAN BRAIN MAPPING»,

vol. 36,

n. 8,

2015

, pp. 3117 -

3136
Ajelli, Marco; Parlamento, Stefano; Bome, David; Kebbi, Atiba; Atzori, Andrea; Frasson, Clara; Putoto, Giovanni; Carraro, Dante; Merler, Stefano,

The 2014 Ebola virus disease outbreak in Pujehun, Sierra Leone: epidemiology and impact of interventions,

in «BMC MEDICINE»,

vol. 13,

n. 1,

2015

, pp. 281 -
Merler S.; Ajelli M.,

Deciphering the relative weights of demographic transition and vaccination in the decrease of measles incidence in Italy,

in «PROCEEDINGS - ROYAL SOCIETY. BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES»,

vol. 281,

n. 1777,

2014

, pp. 20132676 -
Giorgio Guzzetta; Luca Faustini; Donatella Panatto; Roberto Gasparini; Piero Manfredi,

The impact of HPV female immunization in Italy: model based predictions,

in «PLOS ONE»,

vol. 9,

n. 3,

2014
M. Ajelli; S. Merler; L. Fumanelli; A. Bella; C. Rizzo,

Estimating measles transmission potential in Italy over the period 2010-2011,

in «ANNALI DELL'ISTITUTO SUPERIORE DI SANITÀ»,

vol. 50,

n. 4,

2014
Marco Ajelli; Piero Poletti; Alessia Melegaro; Stefano Merler,

The role of different social contexts in shaping influenza transmission during the 2009 pandemic,

in «SCIENTIFIC REPORTS»,

vol. 4,

2014
G. Guzzetta; P. Poletti; E. Del Fava; M. Ajelli; G. Scalia Tomba; S. Merler; P. Manfredi,

Hope-Simpson's Progressive Immunity Hypothesis as a Possible Explanation for Herpes Zoster Incidence Data,

in «AMERICAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY»,

vol. 177,

n. 10,

2013

, pp. 1134 -

1142
Piero Poletti;Alessia Melegaro;Marco Ajelli;Emanuele del Fava;Giorgio Guzzetta;Luca Faustini;Giampaolo Scalia Tomba;Pierluigi Lopalco;Caterina Rizzo;Stefano Merler;Piero Manfredi,

Perspectives on the Impact of Varicella Immunization on Herpes Zoster. A Model-Based Evaluation from Three European Countries,

in «PLOS ONE»,

vol. 8,

2013

, pp. e60732 -
Merler S.; Ajelli M.; Camilloni B.; Puzelli S.; Bella A.; Rota M.C.; Tozzi A.E.; Muraca M.; Meledandri M.; Iorio A.M.; Donatelli I.; Rizzo C,

Pandemic Influenza A/H1N1pdm in Italy: Age, Risk and Population Susceptibility,

in «PLOS ONE»,

vol. 8,

n. 10,

2013

, pp. e74785 -
S Merler; M Ajelli;L Fumanelli; A Vespignani,

Containing the accidental laboratory escape of potential pandemic influenza viruses,

in «BMC MEDICINE»,

vol. 11,

2013

, pp. 252 -
G. Guzzetta; D. Kirschner,

The Roles of Immune Memory and Aging in Protective Immunity and Endogenous Reactivation of Tuberculosis,

in «PLOS ONE»,

vol. 8,

n. 4,

2013

, pp. e60425 -
S. Merler; G. Jurman,

A Combinatorial Model of Malware Diffusion via Bluetooth Connections,

in «PLOS ONE»,

vol. 8,

n. 3,

2013

, pp. e59468 -
L. Fumanelli; P. Magal; D. Xiao; X. Yu,

Qualitative analysis of a model for co-culture of bacteria and amoebae,

in «MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES AND ENGINEERING»,

vol. 9,

n. 2,

2012

, pp. 259 -

279
P. Poletti; M. Ajelli; S. Merler,

Risk perception and effectiveness of uncoordinated behavioral responses in an emerging epidemic,

in «MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES»,

vol. 238,

n. 2,

2012

, pp. 80 -

89
L. Fumanelli; M. Ajelli; P. Manfredi; A. Vespignani; S. Merler,

Inferring the Structure of Social Contacts from Demographic Data in the Analysis of Infectious Diseases Spread,

in «PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY»,

vol. 8,

n. 9,

2012

, pp. e1002673 -
Alberto d’Onofrio; Piero Manfredi; Piero Poletti,

The interplay of public intervention and private choices in determining the outcome of vaccination programmes,

in «PLOS ONE»,

vol. 7,

n. 10,

2012
M. Ajelli; S. Merler,

Transmission Potential and Design of Adequate Control Measures for Marburg Hemorrhagic Fever,

in «PLOS ONE»,

2012
M. Ajelli; S. Merler; A. Pugliese; C. Rizzo,

Model predictions and evaluation of possible control strategies for the 2009 A/H1N1v influenza pandemic in Italy,

in «EPIDEMIOLOGY AND INFECTION»,

vol. 139,

n. 1,

2011

, pp. 68 -

79
M. Ajelli; L. Fumanelli; P. Manfredi; S. Merler,

Spatiotemporal dynamics of viral hepatitis A in Italy,

in «THEORETICAL POPULATION BIOLOGY»,

vol. 79,

n. 1-2,

2011

, pp. 1 -

11
L. Fumanelli; M. Iannelli; H. A. Janjua; O. Jousson,

Mathematical modeling of bacterial virulence and host-pathogen interactions in the Dictyostelium/Pseudomonas system,

in «JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY»,

vol. 270,

n. 1,

2011

, pp. 19 -

24
P. Poletti; M. Ajelli; S. Merler,

The effect of risk perception on the 2009 H1N1 pandemic influenza dynamics,

in «PLOS ONE»,

vol. 6,

n. 2,

2011

, pp. e16460 -
C. Rizzo; M. Ajelli; S. Merler; A. Pugliese; I. Barbetta; S. Salmaso; P. Manfredi,

Epidemiology and transmission dynamics of the 1918-19 pandemic influenza in Florence, Italy,

in «VACCINE»,

vol. 29,

n. S2,

2011

, pp. B27 -

B32
Poletti P.; Messeri G.; Ajelli M.; Vallorani R.; Rizzo C.; Merler S.,

Transmission potential of Chikungunya virus and control measures: the case of Italy,

in «PLOS ONE»,

vol. 6,

n. 5,

2011

, pp. e18860 -
M. Ajelli; A. Pugliese; S. Merler; S. Declich; C. Rizzo,

Evaluation of model prediction during the early phase of the 2009 inﬂuenza pandemic in Italy,

in «INFLUENZA AND OTHER RESPIRATORY VIRUSES»,

vol. 5,

n. Suppl. 1,

2011

, pp. 222 -

226
S. Merler; M. Ajelli; A. Pugliese; N.M. Ferguson,

Determinants of the spatiotemporal dynamics of the 2009 H1N1 pandemic in Europe: implications for real-time modelling,

in «PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY»,

vol. 7,

n. 9,

2011
G. Guzzetta; M. Ajelli; Z. Yang; S. Merler; C. Furlanello; D. Kirschner,

Modeling socio-demography to capture tuberculosis transmission dynamics in a low burden setting,

in «JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY»,

vol. 289,

2011

, pp. 197 -

205
A. d'Onofrio; P. Manfredi; P. Poletti,

The impact of vaccine side effects on the natural history of immunization programmes: An imitation-game approach,

in «JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY»,

vol. 273,

n. 1,

2011

, pp. 63 -

71
Stefano Merler; Marco Ajelli,

The role of population heterogeneity and human mobility in the spread of pandemic influenza.,

in «PROCEEDINGS - ROYAL SOCIETY. BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES»,

vol. 277,

n. 1681,

2010

, pp. 557 -

565
M. Ajelli; B. Goncalves; D. Balcan; V. Colizza; H. Hu; J.J. Ramasco; S. Merler; A. Vespignani,

Comparing large-scale computational approaches to epidemic modeling: agent-based versus structured metapopulation models,

in «BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES»,

vol. 10,

2010

, pp. 190 -

202
S. Merler; M. Ajelli,

Human mobility and population heterogeneity in the spread of an epidemic,

in «PROCEDIA COMPUTER SCIENCE»,

vol. 1,

n. 1,

2010

, pp. 2237 -

2244
F. Iozzi; F. Trusiano; M. Chinazzi; F. Billari; E. Zagheni; S. Merler; M. Ajelli; E. Del Fava; P. Manfredi,

Little-Italy: an Agent-Based Approach to the Estimation of Contact Patterns. Fitting Predicted Matrices to Serological Data.,

in «PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY»,

vol. 6,

n. 12,

2010

, pp. e1001021 -
G. Guzzetta; G. Jurman; C. Furlanello,

A machine learning pipeline for quantitative phenotype prediction from genotype data,

in «BMC BIOINFORMATICS»,

vol. 11,

n. Suppl 8,

2010

, pp. S3 -
Angelini, P; Bellini, R; Bevilacqua, L; Bianco, C; Biondi, E; Dottori, M; Francia, F; Frasca, G; Gargiulo, S; Ghiselli, F; Majori, G; Merler, S; Palazzi, M; Po, C; Ragazzi, D; Rizzo, C; Samorè, T; Tamba, M; Venturelli, C.,

Chikungunya virus in North-Eastern Italy: a seroprevalence survey,

in «AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE»,

vol. 82,

n. 3,

2010

, pp. 508 -

511
Stefano Merler; Marco Ajelli; Caterina Rizzo,

Age-prioritized use of antivirals during an influenza pandemic.,

in «BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES»,

vol. 9,

2009

, pp. 117 -

117
Piero Poletti; Bruno Caprile; Marco Ajelli; Andrea Pugliese; Stefano Merler,

Spontaneous behavioural changes in response to epidemics.,

in «JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY»,

vol. 260,

n. 1,

2009

, pp. 31 -

40
Marco Ajelli; Stefano Merler,

An individual-based model of hepatitis A transmission.,

in «JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY»,

vol. 259,

n. 3,

2009

, pp. 478 -

488
Giorgio Guzzetta; Piero Manfredi; R. Gasparini; D. Panatto; W.J. Edmunds,

On the relationship between meningococcal transmission dynamics and disease: Remarks on humoral immunity.,

in «VACCINE»,

vol. 27,

n. 25/26,

2009

, pp. 3429 -

3434
P. Manfredi; P. della Posta; A. d'Onofrio; E. Salinelli; F. Centrone; C. Meo; P. Poletti,

Optimal vaccination choice, vaccination games, and rational exemption: an appraisal,

in «VACCINE»,

vol. 28,

n. 1,

2009

, pp. 98 -

109
S. Merler; P. Poletti; M. Ajelli; B. Caprile; P. Manfredi,

Coinfection can trigger multiple pandemic waves,

in «JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY»,

vol. 254,

n. 2,

2008

, pp. 499 -

507
M. Ciofi degli Atti; S. Merler; C. Rizzo; M. Ajelli; M. Massari; P. Manfredi; C. Furlanello; G. Scalia Tomba; M. Iannelli,

Mitigation measures for pandemic influenza in Italy: an individual based model considering different scenarios,

in «PLOS ONE»,

vol. 3,

n. 3,

2008

, pp. e1790 -
M. Ajelli; S. Merler,

The Impact of the Unstructured Contacts Component in Influenza Pandemic Modeling,

in «PLOS ONE»,

vol. 3,

n. 1,

2008

, pp. e1519 -
A. Barla; G. Jurman; S. Riccadonna; M. Chierici; S. Merler; C. Furlanello,

Machine learning methods for predictive proteomics,

in «BRIEFINGS IN BIOINFORMATICS»,

vol. 9,

n. 2,

2008

, pp. 119 -

128
G. Jurman; S. Merler; A. Barla; S. Paoli; A. Galea; C. Furlanello,

Algebraic stability indicators for ranked lists in molecular profiling,

in «BIOINFORMATICS»,

vol. 24,

n. 2,

2008

, pp. 258 -

264
S. Paoli; G. Jurman; D. Albanese; S. Merler; C. Furlanello,

Integrating gene expression profiling and clinical data,

in «INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPROXIMATE REASONING»,

vol. 47,

n. 1,

2008

, pp. 58 -

69
M. Ajelli; M. Iannelli; P. Manfredi; M.L. Ciofi degli Atti,

Basic mathematical models for the temporal dynamics of HAV in medium-endemicity Italian areas,

in «VACCINE»,

vol. 26,

n. 13,

2008

, pp. 1697 -

1707
Marta Luisa Ciofi degli Atti; Caterina Rizzo; Antonino Bella; Marco Massari; Mimmo Iannelli; Antonella Lunelli; Andrea Pugliese; Jordi Ripoll; Piero Manfredi; Giampaolo Scalia Tomba; Stefano Merler; Giuseppe Jurman; Cesare Furlanello,

Modelling scenarios of diffusion and control of pandemic influenza, Italy,

in «EUROSURVEILLANCE»,

vol. 12,

n. 1,

2007

, pp. E070104.2 -
S. Riccadonna; G. Jurman; S. Merler; S. Paoli; A. Quattrone; C. Furlanello.,

Supervised classification of combined copy number and gene expression data.,

in «JOURNAL OF INTEGRATIVE BIOINFORMATICS»,

vol. 4,

n. 3,

2007

, pp. 74 -
M. Cannataro; A. Barla; R. Flor; A. Gallo; G. Jurman; S. Merler; S. Paoli; G. Tradigo; P. Veltri; C. Furlanello,

A grid environment for high-throughput proteomics.,

in «IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON NANOBIOSCIENCE»,

vol. 6,

n. 2,

2007

, pp. 117 -

123
S. Merler; B. Caprile; C. Furlanello.,

Parallelizing AdaBoost by weights dynamics.,

in «COMPUTATIONAL STATISTICS & DATA ANALYSIS»,

vol. 51,

n. 5,

2007

, pp. 2487 -

2498
C. Furlanello; S. Merler; G. Jurman.,

Combining feature selection and DTW for time-varying functional genomics,

in «IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SIGNAL PROCESSING»,

vol. 54,

n. 6,

2006

, pp. 2436 -

2443
S. Merler; G. Jurman,

Terminated Ramp - Support Vector Machine: a nonparametric data dependent kernel,

in «NEURAL NETWORKS»,

vol. 19,

2006

, pp. 1597 -

1611
M. Neteler; D. Grasso; I. Michelazzi; L. Miori; S. Merler; C. Furlanello,

An integrated toolbox for image registration, fusion and classification,

in «INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GEOINFORMATICS»,

2005

, pp. 51 -

61
C. Furlanello; M. Serafini; S. Merler; G. Jurman,

Semisupervised Learning for Molecular Profiling,

in «IEEE/ACM TRANSACTIONS ON COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY AND BIOINFORMATICS»,

2005

, pp. 110 -

118
S. Merler; B. Caprile; C. Furlanello,

Bias-Variance Control via Hard Points Shaving,

in «INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PATTERN RECOGNITION AND ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE»,

vol. 18,

n. 5,

2004

, pp. 891 -

903
C. Furlanello; M. Serafini; S. Merler; G. Jurman,

Methods for predictive classification and molecular profiling from DNA microarray data,

in «ITALIAN HEART JOURNAL»,

vol. 5,

n. 1,

2004

, pp. 199 -

202
Stefano Merler; Cesare Furlanello; Barbara Larcher; Andrea Sboner,

Automatic model selection in cost-sensitive boosting,

in «INFORMATION FUSION»,

vol. 4,

n. 1,

2003

, pp. 3 -

10
Stefano Merler; Bruno Caprile; Cesare Furlanello,

Bias-Variance Control via Hard Points Shaving,

in «INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PATTERN RECOGNITION AND ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE»,

vol. 18,

2003
Cesare Furlanello; Maria Serafini; Stefano Merler; Giuseppe Jurman,

Entropy-based gene ranking without selection bias for the predictive classification of microarray data,

in «BMC BIOINFORMATICS»,

2003

, pp. 54 -

73
Annamaria Rizzoli; Stefano Merler; Cesare Furlanello; C. Chemini; C. Genchi,

Geographical Information Systems and Bootstrap Aggregation (Bagging) of Tree-Based Classifiers for Lyme Disease Risk Assessment in Trentino, Italian Alps,

in «JOURNAL OF MEDICAL ENTOMOLOGY»,

2002

, pp. 485 -

492
Cesare Furlanello; Stefano Merler; Stefano Menegon; S. Mancuso; G. Bertiato,

New WEBGIS technologies for geolocation of epidemiological data: an application for the surveillance of the risk of Lyme borreliosis disease,

in «GIORNALE ITALIANO DI ARITMOLOGIA E CARDIOSTIMOLAZIONE»,

2002

, pp. 241 -

245
I. Cattadori; Stefano Merler; P.J. Hudson,

Searching for Mechanisms of Synchrony in Spatially Structured Gamebird Populations,

in «JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY»,

2000

, pp. 620 -

638
I. Cattadori; P.J. Hudson; Stefano Merler; Annamaria Rizzoli,

Synchrony, scale and temporal dynamics of rock partridge populations in the Dolomite,

in «JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY»,

1999

, pp. 540 -

549
Cesare Furlanello; Diego Giuliani; Edmondo Trentin; Stefano Merler,

Speaker Normalization and Model Selection of Combined Neural Nets,

in «CONNECTION SCIENCE»,

vol. 9,

n. 1,

1997

, pp. 31 -

50
Stefano Merler; Cesare Furlanello,

Selection of Tree-Based Classifiers with the Bootstrap 632+ Rule,

in «BIOMETRICAL JOURNAL»,

1997

, pp. 369 -

382
C. Chemini; Annamaria Rizzoli; Stefano Merler; Cesare Furlanello; C. Genchi,

Ixodes Ricinus (Acari: Ixodidae) Infestation on Roe Deer (Capreolus Capreolus) in Trentino, Italian Alps,

in «PARASSITOLOGIA»,

vol. 39,

1997

, pp. 59 -

63
Stefano Merler; Cesare Furlanello; C. Chemini; G. Nicolini,

Classification Tree Methods for Analysis of Mesoscale Distribution of Ixodes ricinus (Acari: Ixodidae) in Trentino, Italian Alps,

in «JOURNAL OF MEDICAL ENTOMOLOGY»,

1996

, pp. 887 -

893

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