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Stefano Merler

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Stefano Merler
Head of the Unit
  • Phone: 0461314595
  • FBK Povo
Publications
  1. Guzzetta, Giorgio; Riccardo, Flavia; Marziano, Valentina; Poletti, Piero; Trentini, Filippo; Bella, Antonino; Andrianou, Xanthi; Del Manso, Martina; Fabiani, Massimo; Bellino, Stefania; Boros, Stefano; Urdiales, Alberto Mateo; Vescio, Maria Fenicia; Piccioli, Andrea; Brusaferro, Silvio; Rezza, Giovanni; Pezzotti, Patrizio; Ajelli, Marco; Merler, Stefano,
    Impact of a Nationwide Lockdown on SARS-CoV-2 Transmissibility, Italy,
    in «EMERGING INFECTIOUS DISEASES»,
    vol. 27,
    n. 1,
    2021
  2. Stefanelli, Paola; Bella, Antonino; Fedele, Giorgio; Pancheri, Serena; Leone, Pasqualina; Vacca, Paola; Neri, Arianna; Carannante, Anna; Fazio, Cecilia; Benedetti, Eleonora; Fiore, Stefano; Fabiani, Concetta; Simmaco, Maurizio; Santino, Iolanda; Zuccali, Maria Grazia; Bizzarri, Giancarlo; Magnoni, Rosa; Benetollo, Pier Paolo; Merler, Stefano; Brusaferro, Silvio; Rezza, Giovanni; Ferro, Antonio,
    Prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies in an area of North-eastern Italy with a high incidence of COVID-19 cases: a population-based study,
    in «CLINICAL MICROBIOLOGY AND INFECTION»,
    vol. 27,
    n. 4,
    2021
    , pp. 633-E1 -
    633-E7
  3. Marziano, Valentina; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Rondinone, Bruna Maria; Boccuni, Fabio; Riccardo, Flavia; Bella, Antonino; Poletti, Piero; Trentini, Filippo; Pezzotti, Patrizio; Brusaferro, Silvio; Rezza, Giovanni; Iavicoli, Sergio; Ajelli, Marco; Merler, Stefano,
    Retrospective analysis of the Italian exit strategy from COVID-19 lockdown,
    in «PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA»,
    vol. 118,
    n. 4,
    2021
    , pp. e2019617118 -
  4. Mistry, Dina; Litvinova, Maria; Pastore Y Piontti, Ana; Chinazzi, Matteo; Fumanelli, Laura; Gomes, Marcelo F C; Haque, Syed A; Liu, Quan-Hui; Mu, Kunpeng; Xiong, Xinyue; Halloran, M Elizabeth; Longini, Ira M; Merler, Stefano; Ajelli, Marco; Vespignani, Alessandro,
    Inferring high-resolution human mixing patterns for disease modeling,
    in «NATURE COMMUNICATIONS»,
    vol. 12,
    n. 1,
    2021
    , pp. 323 -
  5. Poletti, Piero; Tirani, Marcello; Cereda, Danilo; Trentini, Filippo; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Sabatino, Giuliana; Marziano, Valentina; Castrofino, Ambra; Grosso, Francesca; Del Castillo, Gabriele; Piccarreta, Raffaella; Andreassi, Aida; Melegaro, Alessia; Gramegna, Maria; Ajelli, Marco; Merler, Stefano,
    Association of Age With Likelihood of Developing Symptoms and Critical Disease Among Close Contacts Exposed to Patients With Confirmed SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Italy,
    in «JAMA NETWORK OPEN»,
    vol. 4,
    n. 3,
    2021
    , pp. e211085 -
  6. Trentini, Filippo; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Galli, Margherita; Zardini, Agnese; Manenti, Fabio; Putoto, Giovanni; Marziano, Valentina; Gamshie, Worku Nigussa; Tsegaye, Ademe; Greblo, Alessandro; Melegaro, Alessia; Ajelli, Marco; Merler, Stefano; Poletti, Piero,
    Modeling the interplay between demography, social contact patterns, and SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the South West Shewa Zone of Oromia Region, Ethiopia,
    in «BMC MEDICINE»,
    vol. 19,
    n. 1,
    2021
    , pp. 89 -
  7. Manica, Mattia; Pancheri, Serena; Poletti, Piero; Giovanazzi, Giulia; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Trentini, Filippo; Marziano, Valentina; Ajelli, Marco; Zuccali, Maria Grazia; Benetollo, Pier Paolo; Merler, Stefano; Ferro, Antonio,
    The risk of symptomatic infection during a second COVID-19 wave, in SARS-CoV-2 seropositive individuals,
    in «CLINICAL INFECTIOUS DISEASES»,
    2021
  8. Yang, Juan; Marziano, Valentina; Deng, Xiaowei; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Zhang, Juanjuan; Trentini, Filippo; Cai, Jun; Poletti, Piero; Zheng, Wen; Wang, Wei; Wu, Qianhui; Zhao, Zeyao; Dong, Kaige; Zhong, Guangjie; Viboud, Cécile; Merler, Stefano; Ajelli, Marco; Yu, Hongjie,
    Despite vaccination, China needs non-pharmaceutical interventions to prevent widespread outbreaks of COVID-19 in 2021,
    in «NATURE HUMAN BEHAVIOUR»,
    2021
    , pp. 1009 -
    1020
  9. Poletti, Piero; Tirani, Marcello; Cereda, Danilo; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Trentini, Filippo; Marziano, Valentina; Toso, Claudia; Piatti, Alessandra; Piccarreta, Raffaella; Melegaro, Alessia; Andreassi, Aida; Gramegna, Maria; Ajelli, Marco; Merler, Stefano,
    Seroprevalence of and Risk Factors Associated With SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Health Care Workers During the Early COVID-19 Pandemic in Italy,
    in «JAMA NETWORK OPEN»,
    vol. 4,
    n. 7,
    2021
    , pp. e2115699 -
  10. Manica, Mattia; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Riccardo, Flavia; Valenti, Antonio; Poletti, Piero; Marziano, Valentina; Trentini, Filippo; Andrianou, Xanthi; Mateo-Urdiales, Alberto; Del Manso, Martina; Fabiani, Massimo; Vescio, Maria Fenicia; Spuri, Matteo; Petrone, Daniele; Bella, Antonino; Iavicoli, Sergio; Ajelli, Marco; Brusaferro, Silvio; Pezzotti, Patrizio; Merler, Stefano,
    Impact of tiered restrictions on human activities and the epidemiology of the second wave of COVID-19 in Italy,
    in «NATURE COMMUNICATIONS»,
    vol. 12,
    n. 1,
    2021
    , pp. 4570 -
  11. Sarubbo, Silvio; Tate, Matthew; De Benedictis, Alessandro; Merler, Stefano; Moritz-Gasser, Sylvie; Herbet, Guillaume; Duffau, Hugues,
    A normalized dataset of 1821 cortical and subcortical functional responses collected during direct electrical stimulation in patients undergoing awake brain surgery,
    in «DATA IN BRIEF»,
    2020
    , pp. 104892 -
  12. Grasselli, Giacomo; Zangrillo, Alberto; Zanella, Alberto; Antonelli, Massimo; Cabrini, Luca; Castelli, Antonio; Cereda, Danilo; Coluccello, Antonio; Foti, Giuseppe; Fumagalli, Roberto; Iotti, Giorgio; Latronico, Nicola; Lorini, Luca; Merler, Stefano; Natalini, Giuseppe; Piatti, Alessandra; Ranieri, Marco Vito; Scandroglio, Anna Mara; Storti, Enrico; Cecconi, Maurizio; Pesenti, Antonio,
    Baseline Characteristics and Outcomes of 1591 Patients Infected With SARS-CoV-2 Admitted to ICUs of the Lombardy Region, Italy,
    in «JAMA»,
    2020
  13. Zhang, Juanjuan; Litvinova, Maria; Wang, Wei; Wang, Yan; Deng, Xiaowei; Chen, Xinghui; Li, Mei; Zheng, Wen; Yi, Lan; Chen, Xinhua; Wu, Qianhui; Liang, Yuxia; Wang, Xiling; Yang, Juan; Sun, Kaiyuan; Longini, Ira M; Halloran, M Elizabeth; Wu, Peng; Cowling, Benjamin J; Merler, Stefano; Viboud, Cecile; Vespignani, Alessandro; Ajelli, Marco; Yu, Hongjie,
    Evolving epidemiology and transmission dynamics of coronavirus disease 2019 outside Hubei province, China: a descriptive and modelling study,
    in «THE LANCET INFECTIOUS DISEASES»,
    2020
  14. Guzzetta, Giorgio; Poletti, Piero; Ajelli, Marco; Trentini, Filippo; Marziano, Valentina; Cereda, Danilo; Tirani, Marcello; Diurno, Giulio; Bodina, Annalisa; Barone, Antonio; Crottogini, Lucia; Gramegna, Maria; Melegaro, Alessia; Merler, Stefano,
    Potential short-term outcome of an uncontrolled COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy, February to March 2020,
    in «EUROSURVEILLANCE»,
    vol. 25,
    n. 12,
    2020
  15. Chinazzi, Matteo; Davis, Jessica T; Ajelli, Marco; Gioannini, Corrado; Litvinova, Maria; Merler, Stefano; Pastore Y Piontti, Ana; Mu, Kunpeng; Rossi, Luca; Sun, Kaiyuan; Viboud, Cécile; Xiong, Xinyue; Yu, Hongjie; Halloran, M Elizabeth; Longini, Ira M; Vespignani, Alessandro,
    The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak,
    in «SCIENCE»,
    vol. 368,
    n. 6489,
    2020
    , pp. 395 -
    400
  16. Zhang, Juanjuan; Litvinova, Maria; Liang, Yuxia; Wang, Yan; Wang, Wei; Zhao, Shanlu; Wu, Qianhui; Merler, Stefano; Viboud, Cécile; Vespignani, Alessandro; Ajelli, Marco; Yu, Hongjie,
    Changes in contact patterns shape the dynamics of the COVID-19 outbreak in China,
    in «SCIENCE»,
    2020
    , pp. eabb8001 -
  17. Calabrò, Giovanna Elisa; Specchia, Maria Lucia; Boccalini, Sara; Panatto, Donatella; Rizzo, Caterina; Merler, Stefano; Ferriero, Anna Maria; Di Pietro, Maria Luisa; Bonanni, Paolo; de Waure, Chiara,
    Strengthening the Evidence-Based Approach to Guiding Effective Influenza Vaccination Policies,
    in «VACCINES»,
    vol. 8,
    n. 3,
    2020
    , pp. 342 -
  18. Caputo, Beniamino; Russo, Gianluca; Manica, Mattia; Vairo, Francesco; Poletti, Piero; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Merler, Stefano; Scagnolari, Carolina; Solimini, Angelo,
    A comparative analysis of the 2007 and 2017 Italian chikungunya outbreaks and implication for public health response,
    in «PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES»,
    vol. 14,
    n. 6,
    2020
    , pp. e0008159 -
  19. Guzzetta, Giorgio; Vairo, Francesco; Mammone, Alessia; Lanini, Simone; Poletti, Piero; Manica, Mattia; Rosa, Roberto; Caputo, Beniamino; Solimini, Angelo; Torre, Alessandra Della; Scognamiglio, Paola; Zumla, Alimuddin; Ippolito, Giuseppe; Merler, Stefano,
    Spatial modes for transmission of chikungunya virus during a large chikungunya outbreak in Italy: a modeling analysis,
    in «BMC MEDICINE»,
    vol. 18,
    n. 1,
    2020
  20. Aleta, Alberto; Martín-Corral, David; Pastore y Piontti, Ana; Ajelli, Marco; Litvinova, Maria; Chinazzi, Matteo; Dean, Natalie E.; Halloran, M. Elizabeth; Longini Jr, Ira M.; Merler, Stefano; Pentland, Alex; Vespignani, Alessandro; Moro, Esteban; Moreno, Yamir,
    Modelling the impact of testing, contact tracing and household quarantine on second waves of COVID-19,
    in «NATURE HUMAN BEHAVIOUR»,
    2020
  21. Poletti, Piero; Tirani, Marcello; Cereda, Danilo; Trentini, Filippo; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Marziano, Valentina; Buoro, Sabrina; Riboli, Simona; Crottogini, Lucia; Piccarreta, Raffaella; Piatti, Alessandra; Grasselli, Giacomo; Melegaro, Alessia; Gramegna, Maria; Ajelli, Marco; Merler, Stefano,
    Age-specific SARS-CoV-2 infection fatality ratio and associated risk factors, Italy, February to April 2020,
    in «EUROSURVEILLANCE»,
    vol. 25,
    n. 31,
    2020
  22. Bosetti, Paolo; Poletti, Piero; Stella, Massimo; Lepri, Bruno; Merler, Stefano; De Domenico, Manlio,
    Heterogeneity in social and epidemiological factors determines the risk of measles outbreaks,
    in «PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA»,
    2020
    , pp. 201920986 -
  23. Riccardo, Flavia; Ajelli, Marco; Andrianou, Xanthi D; Bella, Antonino; Del Manso, Martina; Fabiani, Massimo; Bellino, Stefania; Boros, Stefano; Urdiales, Alberto Mateo; Marziano, Valentina; Rota, Maria Cristina; Filia, Antonietta; D'Ancona, Fortunato; Siddu, Andrea; Punzo, Ornella; Trentini, Filippo; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Poletti, Piero; Stefanelli, Paola; Castrucci, Maria Rita; Ciervo, Alessandra; Di Benedetto, Corrado; Tallon, Marco; Piccioli, Andrea; Brusaferro, Silvio; Rezza, Giovanni; Merler, Stefano; Pezzotti, Patrizio,
    Epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 cases and estimates of the reproductive numbers 1 month into the epidemic, Italy, 28 January to 31 March 2020,
    in «EUROSURVEILLANCE»,
    vol. 25,
    n. 49,
    2020
  24. Liu, Quan-Hui; Bento, Ana I; Yang, Kexin; Zhang, Hang; Yang, Xiaohan; Merler, Stefano; Vespignani, Alessandro; Lv, Jiancheng; Yu, Hongjie; Zhang, Wei; Zhou, Tao; Ajelli, Marco,
    The COVID-19 outbreak in Sichuan, China: Epidemiology and impact of interventions,
    in «PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY»,
    vol. 16,
    n. 12,
    2020
    , pp. e1008467 -
  25. Manica, Mattia; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Filipponi, Federico; Solimini, Angelo; Caputo, Beniamino; Della Torre, Alessandra; Rosà, Roberto; Merler, Stefano,
    Assessing the risk of autochthonous yellow fever transmission in Lazio, central Italy,
    in «PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES»,
    vol. 13,
    n. 1,
    2019
    , pp. e0006970 -
  26. Marini, Giovanni; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Marques Toledo, Cecilia A; Teixeira, Mauro; Rosà, Roberto; Merler, Stefano,
    Effectiveness of Ultra-Low Volume insecticide spraying to prevent dengue in a non-endemic metropolitan area of Brazil,
    in «PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY»,
    vol. 15,
    n. 3,
    2019
    , pp. e1006831 -
  27. Trentini, Filippo; Poletti, Piero; Melegaro, Alessia; Merler, Stefano,
    The introduction of ‘No jab, No school’ policy and the refinement of measles immunisation strategies in high-income countries,
    in «BMC MEDICINE»,
    vol. 17,
    n. 1,
    2019
  28. Di Ruscio, Francesco; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Bjørnholt, Jørgen Vildershøj; Leegaard, Truls Michael; Moen, Aina Elisabeth Fossum; Merler, Stefano; Freiesleben de Blasio, Birgitte,
    Quantifying the transmission dynamics of MRSA in the community and healthcare settings in a low-prevalence country,
    in «PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA»,
    2019
    , pp. 201900959 -
  29. Guzzetta, Giorgio; Minosse, Claudia; Pisapia, Raffaella; Giombini, Emanuela; Mammone, Alessia; Vairo, Francesco; Garbuglia, Anna Rosa; Scognamiglio, Paola; Capobianchi, Maria Rosaria; Merler, Stefano; Ippolito, Giuseppe; Lanini, Simone,
    Household transmission and disease transmissibility of a large HAV outbreak in Lazio, Italy, 2016–2017,
    in «EPIDEMICS»,
    vol. 29,
    2019
    , pp. 100351 -
  30. Lanini, Simone; Ioannidis, John P A; Vairo, Francesco; Pletschette, Michel; Portella, Gina; Di Bari, Virginia; Mammone, Alessia; Pisapia, Raffaella; Merler, Stefano; Nguhuni, Boniface; Langer, Martin; Di Caro, Antonino; Edwards, Sarah J L; Petrosillo, Nicola; Zumla, Alimuddin; Ippolito, Giuseppe,
    Non-inferiority versus superiority trial design for new antibiotics in an era of high antimicrobial resistance: the case for post-marketing, adaptive randomised controlled trials,
    in «THE LANCET INFECTIOUS DISEASES»,
    vol. 19,
    n. 12,
    2019
    , pp. E444 -
    E451
  31. Marziano, Valentina; Poletti, Piero; Trentini, Filippo; Melegaro, Alessia; Ajelli, Marco; Merler, Stefano,
    Parental vaccination to reduce measles immunity gaps in Italy,
    in «ELIFE»,
    vol. 8,
    2019
  32. Sarubbo, Silvio; Tate, Matthew; De Benedictis, Alessandro; Merler, Stefano; Moritz-Gasser, Sylvie; Herbet, Guillaume; Duffau, Hugues,
    Mapping critical cortical hubs and white matter pathways by direct electrical stimulation: An original functional atlas of the human brain,
    in «NEUROIMAGE»,
    vol. 205,
    2019
    , pp. 116237 -
  33. Marini, Giovanni; Arnoldi, Daniele; Baldacchino, Frederic; Capelli, Gioia; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Merler, Stefano; Montarsi, Fabrizio; Rizzoli, Annapaola; Rosà, Roberto,
    First report of the influence of temperature on the bionomics and population dynamics of Aedes koreicus, a new invasive alien species in Europe,
    in «PARASITES & VECTORS»,
    vol. 12,
    n. 1,
    2019
    , pp. 524 -
  34. Trentini, F.; Poletti, P.; Baldacchino, F.; Drago, A.; Montarsi, F.; Capelli, G.; Rizzoli, A.; Rosà, R.; Rizzo, C.; Merler, S.; Melegaro, A.,
    The containment of potential outbreaks triggered by imported Chikungunya cases in Italy: a cost utility epidemiological assessment of vector control measures,
    in «SCIENTIFIC REPORTS»,
    vol. 8,
    n. 1,
    2018
  35. Viboud, Cécile; Sun, Kaiyuan; Gaffey, Robert; Ajelli, Marco; Fumanelli, Laura; Merler, Stefano; Zhang, Qian; Chowell, Gerardo; Simonsen, Lone; Vespignani, Alessandro,
    The RAPIDD ebola forecasting challenge: Synthesis and lessons learnt,
    in «EPIDEMICS»,
    vol. 22,
    2018
    , pp. 13 -
    21
  36. Ajelli, Marco; Zhang, Qian; Sun, Kaiyuan; Merler, Stefano; Fumanelli, Laura; Chowell, Gerardo; Simonsen, Lone; Viboud, Cecile; Vespignani, Alessandro,
    The RAPIDD Ebola forecasting challenge: Model description and synthetic data generation,
    in «EPIDEMICS»,
    vol. 22,
    2018
    , pp. 3 -
    12
  37. Melegaro, Alessia; Marziano, Valentina; Del Fava, Emanuele; Poletti, Piero; Tirani, Marcello; Rizzo, Caterina; Merler, Stefano,
    The impact of demographic changes, exogenous boosting and new vaccination policies on varicella and herpes zoster in Italy: a modelling and cost-effectiveness study,
    in «BMC MEDICINE»,
    vol. 16,
    n. 1,
    2018
  38. Guzzetta, Giorgio; Marques-Toledo, Cecilia A.; Rosà, Roberto; Teixeira, Mauro; Merler, Stefano,
    Quantifying the spatial spread of dengue in a non-endemic Brazilian metropolis via transmission chain reconstruction,
    in «NATURE COMMUNICATIONS»,
    vol. 9,
    n. 1,
    2018
  39. Marziano, Valentina; Poletti, Piero; Béraud, Guillaume; Boëlle, Pierre-Yves; Merler, Stefano; Colizza, Vittoria,
    Modeling the impact of changes in day-care contact patterns on the dynamics of varicella transmission in France between 1991 and 2015,
    in «PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY»,
    vol. 14,
    n. 8,
    2018
    , pp. e1006334 -
  40. Piffer, Silvio; Bignamini, Valeria; Rozzanigo, Umberto; Poletti, Piero; Merler, Stefano; Gremes, Elisabetta; Marco Bonifati, Domenico,
    Different Clinical Phenotypes of Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source: A Subgroup Analysis of 86 Patients,
    in «JOURNAL OF STROKE AND CEREBROVASCULAR DISEASES»,
    vol. 27,
    n. 12,
    2018
    , pp. 3578 -
    3586
  41. Poletti, Piero; Parlamento, Stefano; Fayyisaa, Tafarraa; Feyyiss, Rattaa; Lusiani, Marta; Tsegaye, Ademe; Segafredo, Giulia; Putoto, Giovanni; Manenti, Fabio; Merler, Stefano,
    The hidden burden of measles in Ethiopia: how distance to hospital shapes the disease mortality rate,
    in «BMC MEDICINE»,
    vol. 16,
    n. 1,
    2018
  42. Sun, Kaiyuan; Zhang, Qian; Pastore-Piontti, Ana; Chinazzi, Matteo; Mistry, Dina; E Dean, Natalie; Patricia Rojas, Diana; Merler, Stefano; Poletti, Piero; Rossi, Luca; Elizabeth Halloran, M; M Longini Jr, Ira; Vespignani, Alessandro,
    Quantifying the risk of local Zika virus transmission in the contiguous US during the 2015–2016 ZIKV epidemic,
    in «BMC MEDICINE»,
    vol. 16,
    n. 1,
    2018
  43. Liu, Quan-Hui; Ajelli, Marco; Aleta, Alberto; Merler, Stefano; Moreno, Yamir; Vespignani, Alessandro,
    Measurability of the epidemic reproduction number in data-driven contact networks,
    in «PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA»,
    vol. 115,
    n. 50,
    2018
    , pp. 201811115 -
  44. Melegaro, Alessia; Del Fava, Emanuele; Poletti, Piero; Merler, Stefano; Nyamukapa, Constance; Williams, John; Gregson, Simon; Manfredi, Piero,
    Social Contact Structures and Time Use Patterns in the Manicaland Province of Zimbabwe,
    in «PLOS ONE»,
    vol. 12,
    n. 1,
    2017
    , pp. e0170459 -
  45. Dallabona, Monica; Sarubbo, Silvio; Merler, Stefano; Corsini, Francesco; Pulcrano, Giuseppe; Rozzanigo, Umberto; Barbareschi, Mattia; Chioffi, Franco,
    Impact of mass effect, tumor location, age, and surgery on the cognitive outcome of patients with high-grade gliomas: a longitudinal study,
    in «NEURO ONCOLOGY PRACTICE»,
    2017
    , pp. npw030 -
  46. Marini, Giovanni; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Baldacchino, Frederic; Arnoldi, Daniele; Montarsi, Fabrizio; Capelli, Gioia; Rizzoli, Annapaola; Merler, Stefano; Rosà, Roberto,
    The effect of interspecific competition on the temporal dynamics of Aedes albopictus and Culex pipiens,
    in «PARASITES & VECTORS»,
    vol. 10,
    n. 1,
    2017
    , pp. 102 -
  47. Guzzetta, Giorgio; Tagliapietra, Valentina; Perkins, Sarah E; Hauffe, Heidi C; Poletti, Piero; Merler, Stefano; Rizzoli, Annapaola,
    Population dynamics of wild rodents induce stochastic fadeouts of a zoonotic pathogen,
    in «JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY»,
    vol. 86,
    2017
    , pp. 451 -
    459
  48. Chowell, Gerardo; Viboud, Cécile; Simonsen, Lone; Merler, Stefano; Vespignani, Alessandro,
    Perspectives on model forecasts of the 2014-2015 Ebola epidemic in West Africa: lessons and the way forward,
    in «BMC MEDICINE»,
    vol. 15,
    n. 1,
    2017
    , pp. 42 -
  49. Zhang, Qian; Sun, Kaiyuan; Chinazzi, Matteo; Pastore y. Piontti, Ana; Dean, Natalie E.; Rojas, Diana Patricia; Merler, Stefano; Mistry, Dina; Poletti, Piero; Rossi, Luca; Bray, Margaret; Halloran, M. Elizabeth; Longini, Ira M.; Vespignani, Alessandro,
    Spread of Zika virus in the Americas,
    in «PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA»,
    vol. 114,
    n. 22,
    2017
    , pp. 201620161 -
  50. Poletti, Piero; Visintainer, Roberto; Lepri, Bruno; Merler, Stefano,
    The interplay between individual social behavior and clinical symptoms in small clustered groups,
    in «BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES»,
    vol. 17,
    n. 1,
    2017
  51. Trentini, Filippo; Poletti, Piero; Merler, Stefano; Melegaro, Alessia,
    Measles immunity gaps and the progress towards elimination: a multi-country modelling analysis,
    in «THE LANCET INFECTIOUS DISEASES»,
    vol. 17,
    n. 10,
    2017
    , pp. 1089 -
    1097
  52. Guzzetta, Giorgio; Trentini, Filippo; Poletti, Piero; Baldacchino, Frederic Alexandre; Montarsi, Fabrizio; Capelli, Gioia; Rizzoli, Annapaola; Rosà, Roberto; Merler, Stefano; Melegaro, Alessia,
    Effectiveness and economic assessment of routine larviciding for prevention of chikungunya and dengue in temperate urban settings in Europe,
    in «PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES»,
    vol. 11,
    n. 9,
    2017
    , pp. e0005918 -
  53. Marini, Giovanni; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Rosà, Roberto; Merler, Stefano,
    First outbreak of Zika virus in the continental United States: a modelling analysis,
    in «EUROSURVEILLANCE»,
    vol. 22,
    n. 37,
    2017
  54. Marziano, Valentina; Pugliese, Andrea; Merler, Stefano; Ajelli, Marco,
    Detecting a Surprisingly Low Transmission Distance in the Early Phase of the 2009 Influenza Pandemic,
    in «SCIENTIFIC REPORTS»,
    vol. 7,
    n. 1,
    2017
  55. Manica, Mattia; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Poletti, Piero; Filipponi, Federico; Solimini, Angelo; Caputo, Beniamino; Della Torre, Alessandra; Rosà, Roberto; Merler, Stefano,
    Transmission dynamics of the ongoing chikungunya outbreak in Central Italy: from coastal areas to the metropolitan city of Rome, summer 2017,
    in «EUROSURVEILLANCE»,
    vol. 22,
    n. 44,
    2017
  56. Fumanelli, Laura; Ajelli, Marco; Merler, Stefano; Ferguson, Neil M; Cauchemez, Simon,
    Model-Based Comprehensive Analysis of School Closure Policies for Mitigating Influenza Epidemics and Pandemics,
    in «PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY»,
    vol. 12,
    n. 1,
    2016
    , pp. e1004681 -
  57. Guzzetta, Giorgio; Poletti, Piero; Merler, Stefano; Manfredi, Piero,
    The Epidemiology of Herpes Zoster After Varicella Immunization Under Different Biological Hypotheses: Perspectives From Mathematical Modeling,
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    School closure policies at municipality level for mitigating influenza spread: a model-based evaluation,
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    Effects of clustered transmission on epidemic growth Comment on "Mathematical models to characterize early epidemic growth: A review" by Gerardo Chowell et al,
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    Potential Risk of Dengue and Chikungunya Outbreaks in Northern Italy Based on a Population Model of Aedes albopictus (Diptera: Culicidae),
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    2016
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    Spatiotemporal spread of the 2014 outbreak of Ebola virus disease in Liberia and the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions: a computational modelling analysis,
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    The role of different social contexts in shaping influenza transmission during the 2009 pandemic,
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    2014
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    Hope-Simpson's Progressive Immunity Hypothesis as a Possible Explanation for Herpes Zoster Incidence Data,
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    An individual-based model of hepatitis A transmission.,
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    Coinfection can trigger multiple pandemic waves,
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    Methods for predictive classification and molecular profiling from DNA microarray data,
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    Automatic model selection in cost-sensitive boosting,
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    Entropy-based gene ranking without selection bias for the predictive classification of microarray data,
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    2003
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    Geographical Information Systems and Bootstrap Aggregation (Bagging) of Tree-Based Classifiers for Lyme Disease Risk Assessment in Trentino, Italian Alps,
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    New WEBGIS technologies for geolocation of epidemiological data: an application for the surveillance of the risk of Lyme borreliosis disease,
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    Searching for Mechanisms of Synchrony in Spatially Structured Gamebird Populations,
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    2000
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    Synchrony, scale and temporal dynamics of rock partridge populations in the Dolomite,
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    Speaker Normalization and Model Selection of Combined Neural Nets,
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    Selection of Tree-Based Classifiers with the Bootstrap 632+ Rule,
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    Ixodes Ricinus (Acari: Ixodidae) Infestation on Roe Deer (Capreolus Capreolus) in Trentino, Italian Alps,
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    Classification Tree Methods for Analysis of Mesoscale Distribution of Ixodes ricinus (Acari: Ixodidae) in Trentino, Italian Alps,
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